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Morgan Stanley Predicts Seven US Federal Reserve Rate Cuts in 2026

Jun 25, 2025, 7:56:21 AM UTC(21 days ago)
Impact: High
Morgan Stanley Predicts Seven US Federal Reserve Rate Cuts in 2026
  • Morgan Stanley forecasts the US Federal Reserve will implement seven interest rate cuts in 2026, commencing in March.
  • These cuts are projected to lower the terminal interest rate to between 2.5% and 2.75%.
  • Economists at Morgan Stanley suggest that a mild recession could necessitate these rate reductions to address unemployment and stimulate economic growth.
  • The anticipated rate cuts are expected to positively impact the stock market.
  • Morgan Stanley also predicts a 9% decrease in the US Dollar Index over the next year, driven by these expected rate cuts and the strengthening of other global currencies.

Sources

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