Breaking news: U.S.-Iran tensions escalate. Prediction markets show increased volatility as reports suggest a potential U.S. strike on Iran, driving Khamenei exit odds to 54%. Additional U.S. forces and missile defenses have been deployed.

Feb 19, 2026, 3:00:23 PM UTC(7 hours ago)
Impact: Very High

Affected Assets

  • Breaking news: U.S.-Iran tensions escalate. Prediction markets show increased volatility as reports suggest a potential U.S. strike on Iran, driving Khamenei exit odds to 54%. Additional U.S. forces and missile defenses have been deployed.
  • U.S.-Iran tensions are escalating, with reports suggesting a potential U.S. military strike on Iran.
  • Prediction markets, such as Polymarket, show increased volatility, with millions of dollars wagered on the timing of a possible U.S. strike.
  • Polymarket data indicates a 54% probability of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's removal.
  • The U.S. has deployed additional forces and missile defenses to the Middle East.
  • Analysts suggest any U.S. strike would likely aim to topple the Iranian government and target key military infrastructure.

Sources

🚨 U.S.-IRAN TENSIONS SOAR Prediction markets spike as reports of a possible U.S. strike on Iran push Khamenei exit odds to 54%; extra U.S. forces and missile defenses deployed. https://t.co/vpbDeCXCHS
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