IMF raises global inflation forecast to 4.4 percent amid Middle East conflict

Apr 15, 2026, 5:08:43 PM UTC(3 hours ago)

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The International Monetary Fund increased its 2026 global inflation projection to 4.4 percent citing energy supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions
Global growth forecasts were downgraded to 3.1 percent for the year as the war in the Middle East halts previous economic momentum
Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas warned that a severe scenario with oil prices reaching 110 dollars could push inflation above 6 percent
The IMF advised central banks to prioritize interest rate hikes to tame rising consumer prices even at the risk of slowing economic growth
Emerging market and developing economies are expected to face the most acute pressures due to their reliance on commodity imports

The IMF also raised its inflation forecast for the year. https://t.co/nyOLZd0zek https://t.co/NVyMaK34Ru