Tesla Shifts Strategy to $99 Monthly FSD Subscription Model
Feb 6, 2026 (21 hr ago)
Neutral
Tesla is pivoting from one-time sales to a recurring $99 monthly subscription for Full Self-Driving, aiming for significant future software revenue.
FSD Subscription Strategy & Revenue Potential
Yearly Sales Contraction and Product Underperformance
- Tesla experienced an annual sales drop in 2025, falling from $97.7 billion to $94.8 billion compared to the prior year1
- The Cybertruck significantly underperformed expectations, achieving annual delivery figures between 20,000 and 40,000 units against an initial forecast of 250,0003
- January vehicle shipments in Europe showed a clear downtrend, marked by an 88% fall in Norway and declines in France3
Corporate Restructuring and Asset Proxy Dynamics
- Elon Musk is addressing administrative load concerns through a merger deal combining SpaceX and xAI2
- The SpaceX/xAI merger may concentrate value, potentially drawing investment flows into TSLA as the most liquid proxy for Musk-linked assets6
- A potential SpaceX IPO could establish a market price for that entity, shifting liquidity away from TSLA as the primary proxy6
Reputational Scrutiny and Governance Risks
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Schaeffer's Investment Research
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